Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.662906 1.936155 2.220008 2.535336 2.874344 3.226486 3.618571
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.198031 1.570826 1.981895 2.462076 3.001415 3.583028 4.252397
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.951939 1.367927 1.847279 2.426858 3.096488 3.835366 4.702382
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.797745 1.248762 1.789502 2.462744 3.258649 4.152802 5.217632
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.667537 1.138208 1.724517 2.474346 3.378898 4.410859 5.655055
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.540912 1.014858 1.630106 2.438851 3.434133 4.586490 5.992040
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.497544 0.997788 1.665480 2.558839 3.672056 4.972658 6.570132
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.462565 0.987454 1.706065 2.682719 3.912931 5.361316 7.150781
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.437152 0.987452 1.757943 2.819247 4.168266 5.766695 7.751092
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.421191 0.999341 1.824439 2.973689 4.445365 6.198147 8.382604
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.386564 0.977599 1.841779 3.062141 4.639031 6.528812 8.894910
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.337848 0.926925 1.814533 3.088865 4.753065 6.761921 9.290528
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.261356 0.821944 1.708368 3.013630 4.745434 6.858128 9.538024
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.196015 0.724148 1.605256 2.937576 4.733918 6.948508 9.778966
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.149872 0.651761 1.532826 2.897105 4.762367 7.082599 10.066967
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.124894 0.618563 1.519029 2.937261 4.895260 7.345889 10.511637
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.099230 0.576877 1.487800 2.949888 4.989937 7.560202 10.895825
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.070972 0.518451 1.423461 2.910762 5.012925 7.682538 11.166102
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.067154 0.527535 1.475162 3.043117 5.267367 8.098297 11.797981
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.064079 0.538167 1.529474 3.179526 5.527690 8.522096 12.440581
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.062672 0.553765 1.592683 3.329557 5.806998 8.970674 13.114610
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.063351 0.576264 1.668488 3.498934 6.113198 9.454181 13.832669
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.056700 0.572496 1.696387 3.595784 6.320481 9.811804 14.395537